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Latest New Hampshire Poll (07/31) has Giuliani and Obama Making Gains

July 31, 2007

   On the Democrat side:

The American Research Group’s July poll numbers released today show:

— Obama has doubled his support in the first-primary state in the past two months and is now in a dead heat with Sen. Hillary Clinton at the top of the Democratic pack, with John Edwards third at 14 percent.

Among Democrats, Obama moved from 25 percent in June to 31 percent, while Clinton dropped 3 percentage points and is also at 31 percent support. Edward picked up 3 percentage points, moving form 11 percent in June to 14 percent.

  Senator Clinton had enjoyed a rather large lead in New Hampshire, but that seems to have eroded. It doesn’t matter anyway as all the Democrats are the same. Just pick what you think would be a better story and vote for that candidate.

  On the Republican side:

 Giuliani has picked up support since late June, while Mitt Romney has leveled off, and the two are in a virtual dead heat. McCain has lost half of his support in the past month, according to the poll.

Among Republicans, Giuliani moved from 19 percent in June to 27 percent, while Romney moved from 27 percent in June to 26 percent.

McCain, who received support of 30 percent of likely GOP voters in the ARG poll in May, dropped to 21 percent in June and to 10 percent in the latest poll.

Unannounced candidate Fred Thompson, even without a visibly active campaign in the state, polled ahead of McCain, at 13 percent. Another non-candidate, former House speaker Newt Gingrich, received 6 percent.

  McCain’s stance on the illegal immigration amnesty bill has appeared to take it’s toll on his presidential aspirations. I say, GOOD. Romney had held a lead here, but that has seemingly evaporated. With so much time before the primaries, God only knows what could happen. I don’t believe what the mainstream media is telling us when it comes to who the frontrunners are.

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