Latest New Hampshire Primary Poll (12/20), Hillary is Back, McCain is Surging
As the New Hampshire primary draws closer we seem to have polls almost every day, and I have to say it is getting very interesting up here.
The latest Republican results are:
The latest Rasmussen Reports’ New Hampshire poll shows Romney with 31 percent, McCain at 27 percent
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani attracts 13 percent, while former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee is at 11 percent.
Romney had held a big lead in the polls, but it seems to have drastically tightened up. The surprising part of this, on the surface, is that it is McCain who has closed the gap. But when you look into it a little more deeply, it is almost understandable.
Independent voters make up New Hampshire’s largest voting block. Joe Lieberman’s recent endorsement of John McCain is what seems to be responsible for McCain’s surge. It appears as though this endorsement has swayed many Independent voters to John McCain. A recent poll also stated that 60% of Independents were undecided, so it is logical that many of them could have decided to vote for McCain after his endorsement from Lieberman.
For the Democrats:
New York Sen. Hillary Clinton again leads Sen. Barack Obama, 38 to 26 percent
John Edwards is third with 14 percent and New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson fourth at 8 percent.
Hillary has enjoyed a huge lead over Obama in the past, but after her recent gaffs coupled with Obama’s Oprah endorsement, Obama had pulled even. In just one week Hillary was able to surge to a 12 point advantage once again. I really have no clue on what is responsible for this, other than the fact that maybe Obama was just riding a temporary high ( not a drug reference, I will leave that up to the Hillary campaign), and the tide has shifted back to Hillary.
The fact is that there are still so many undecided voters here that come January 8th anything can happen. There could be a few surprises in the works. I have a couple of hunches, and as the primary draws closer I will make some predictions on how the election will turn out.
