Latest New Hampshire Primary Poll (01/06)

There are actually two new polls out right now, so here are the results of both.

For the Democrats:

Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are neck and neck, according to Research 2000, with the Illinois senator at 34 percent and the former first lady one point behind. Further back were John Edwards with 23 percent, Bill Richardson at 4 percent and Dennis Kucinich with 3.

 And:

Tonight’s CNN/WMUR poll shows Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in a dead heat with 33 percent. John Edwards has 20 percent, Bill Richardson 4 and Dennis Kucinich 2.

 Both polls are basically the same. Independent votes who are planning on voting in the Democrat primary are leaning towards Obama. This could be a big development for him. Whoever wins the Independent vote will probably win the primary.

 There was also another poll released, The American Research Group’s poll had Obama with a twelve point lead, and a recent Rasmussen poll had Obama with a 10 point lead. I don’t believe that is the case. I believe the CNN/WMUR poll is probably the most accurate.

For Republicans:

John McCain with a six-point lead over Mitt Romney, 33 percent to 27 percent. Trailing well behind are Rudy Giuliani with 14, Mike Huckabee at 11, Ron Paul with 9, and both Fred Thompson and Duncan Hunter at 1.

And:

Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., gained four percentage points in the latest poll, and now leads his closest rival, former Gov. Mitt Romney, 39 to 25 percent. Huckabee was third, with 14 percent of likely Republican primary voters

 Again, here I would go with the first poll, the second one doesn’t reflect the numbers we have seen over the last few months. However, Independent voters who plan on voting in the Republican primary are moving towards McCain, so the second poll could be accurate if it has more Independent voters in it.

 With just two days to the primary it looks as if anything can happen.