Latest New Hampshire Senate and House Poll (Are Happy Days Here Again?)

Cross posted on Grizzly Groundswell

 I really am trying to curb my enthusiasm over the latest New Hampshire poll results in the Shaheen?Sununu race and the Bradley/Stephen/Shea-Porter races. It is hard though.

 John Sununu according to this poll only trails Shaheen by four points, he has shaved off eight points of her lead since the last poll. The Democrats consider John Sununu as one of the most vulnerable senators up for re-election this years. Shaheen’s big lead is now gone and this poll is within the margin of error.

 In my district Jeb Bradley now has a six point lead over Carol Shea-Porter. However Shea-Porter holds a six point lead over Bradley’s primary opponent John Stephens. This can be attributed to lack of name recognition. I have to believe that if Stephen come out ahead of Bradley in the primary that he will have no problem in getting Jeb Bradley’s votes so I feel he will also be ahead of Shea-Porter once the primary is held.

 It does appear as though Paul Hodes in the second district is in no trouble, he hold big leads at the moment, but he does have two primary opponent so who knows.

 This looks like possible good news come November, news desperately needed in this state, however only 22% surveyed are firmly behind their candidate. I would normally consider this bad news for an incumbent, especially one as vulnerable as Sununu but if he is so vulnerable why are Shaheen’s number of committed voters higher?

 This latest poll offers us a glimmer of hope in New Hampshire but I am trying to hold down my enthusiasm. It is hard though because I keep thinking that if many Republicans show up to vote for Sununu and Bradley/Stephen that maybe, just maybe they will also vote for Joe Kenney and help rid our state of the fiscally irresponsible tax and spend Governor John Lynch.

 Can happy days be here again? I can dream, can’t I?