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Latest New Hampshire poll (09/18/09)

September 18, 2009

  In the New Hampshire race to fill the senate seat that will be vacated by incumbant Republican Judd Gregg we have the latest poll numbers.

  The polls show that Republican candidate Kelly Ayotte leads Democrat Paul Hodes (who is currently the second district representative) by a margin of 46-38%. Both candidate enjoy over 80% support of voters in their party but where this poll gets interesting is with the undeclared and independent voters. They support Ayotte by a 14% margin. If this margin holds up it could mean a resurgence by Republicans in New Hampshire in 2010. There are more undeclared and independent voters in New Hampshire than there are registered Republicans or Democrats; they represent the largest voting block. If these voters continue to support the Republican candidate by such a large margin there is no way that Paul Hodes can win this senate seat.

  The polls show that Democrat Governor John Lynch is still enjoying a 66% approval rating but there is still no big name Republican who has announced an intention to run against him in the 2010 election. The New Hampshire GOP just doesn’t seem to have a high profile candidate that will pose a legitimate challenge to him.

  However if the state supreme court upholds a lower court ruling that John Lynch unconstitutionally tried to grab $110 million from a private entity to balance his irresponsible budget leaving the state budget in shambles this could have a disastrous effect on his re-election bid. It will be up to Republicans to field a legitimate candidate.

  It is still early in the process but there are some signs that a Republican rebound may be in the works in New Hampshire.

6 Comments leave one →
  1. joe from new hampshire's avatar
    September 19, 2009 4:48 am

    Oh, I so want to see Paul Hodes on the unemployment line! I hope he is crushed so bad that he never dares to show his face in public again!

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  2. Dominique's avatar
    September 19, 2009 1:28 pm

    That is great news! I can’t believe that we don’t have one person who can oust Lynch. In the call w/ Congresswoman Bachmann, she suggested that those who felt so inclined to get into the fray and run. Who knows, maybe our next Governor will “come from us”instead of “to us.” (Huckabee).

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    • Steve Dennis's avatar
      September 19, 2009 6:32 pm

      The tide may be turning, I just hope that the Republicans can nominate a viable candidate. Governor Sununu sounds good to me!

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  3. Jason R. Pelletier's avatar
    Jason R. Pelletier permalink
    October 3, 2009 4:31 am

    I’m a conservative-libertarian independent and I vote for Republicans over 90% of the time.

    However, if the governor’s race was Lynch vs. Sununu, I’d honestly vote for Lynch. Sununu was great when he was in the House and early in his Senate term but he lost my support permanently when he sponsored a cap & trade bill and voted in favor of the wall street bailout. I voted for the Libertarian candidate in the 2008 Senate election because I wasn’t happy with either major candidate.

    Meanwhile, Lynch hasn’t really done anything to offend me. He opposes the income tax and sales tax. I’m libertarian so I didn’t really have a problem with him flip-flopping on gay marriage. I blame the economic problems on the federal government more than the state level. I think Lynch is handling his job as governor relatively well. I don’t mind voting for Democrats when I think they’re doing a good job.

    That said, I’m very excited to vote for Ayotte and Guinta. They both seem great. I wasn’t really excited with any candidate in New Hampshire, state or federal last election.

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  4. Jason Ralph Pelletier's avatar
    Jason Ralph Pelletier permalink
    October 3, 2009 4:33 am

    One more thing, I wonder what’s gonna happen with the State Legislature, if it’ll shift back to Republicans too.

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