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Latest New Hampshire Primary Poll (12/23)

December 23, 2007

 The polls are coming more and more frequently, so let’s take a look at the latest one. Romney’s lead has shrunk, and he looks to be in a dead heat with John McCain, who is surging in New Hampshire.

Romney was backed by 28 percent of likely GOP voters, McCain by 25 percent, Rudy Giuliani 14, Mike Huckabee 10, Ron Paul 9, others 3 and 12 percent were undecided.

 Romney has always been ahead in the polls, but McCain has closed the gap, the poll results are within the margin of error. This is the first time that Romney has been challenged poll-wise in New Hampshire. I don’t understand the McCain surge just based on his immigration stance, but it appears as though his endorsement by Lieberman has helped him in the polls with Independent voters. McCain’s surge doesn’t appear to be taking away too much of Romney’s votes. McCain’s poll numbers appear to coming from Rudy, and Thompson. I think some of the undecided voters have also broken for McCain.

 For the Democrats:

Thirty percent of likely Democratic voters backed Obama, with 28 percent for Clinton. John Edwards was at 14 percent, Bill Richardson at 7, 8 percent went to other candidates and 12 percent remained undecided.

 This is an odd situation. Hillary had held a commanding 25 point lead at one time. Then came that horrible debate that she had, coupled with several other slip ups within a couple of weeks. this had allowed Obama to pull even with Hillary. But then last week’s poll came out and showed Hillary had built her lead back up to twelve points. Now we see Obama ahead by two points in what is technically a dead heat because the lead is within the margin of error. I don’t know what to make of this.

here.

5 Comments leave one →
  1. Richard Allman's avatar
    December 24, 2007 12:39 am

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  2. 777denny's avatar
    December 24, 2007 5:09 am

    Romney will come in a strong second showing in Iowa allowing him to win New Hampshire. There goes John McCain, Giuliani, Fred and Huck. If Romney wins Iowa, it’s all over and he wins the nomination.

    Now, who was it that skipped the early states, and especially Iowa?

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  3. music's avatar
    January 30, 2008 4:42 am

    What do you mean ?

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    June 16, 2008 10:28 am

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    July 31, 2008 11:03 am

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