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Latest New Hampshire State Polls (10/09/08)

October 9, 2008
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 New Hampshire is poised to thrust itself totally into the blue. The transformation into Blue Hampshire, or Upper Massachusetts as some New Hampshirites like to call it, is almost complete.

Recent polls have indicated movement toward the Democrats, and beyond that, local GOP activists we’ve spoken with privately are not feeling good about their ticket’s chances, at least not this week.

 Everything is trending away from Republicans as is in evidence by the fact that Obama has opened up an eight point lead in the state where McCain has always been popular, and has a 13 point lead according to another poll, but it gets worse, much worse.

The latest polling of the congressional races, by Abt SRBI Research for St. Anselm College, shows both Democratic House members leading their Republican challengers.

Rep. Carol Shea-Porter’s 42 to 35 percent lead over former Rep. Jeb Bradley comes two weeks after Bradley led in a UNH poll. SurveyUSA had Shea-Porter ahead, 50 to 41 percent.

Rep. Paul Hodes leads Jennifer Horn, 35 to 18 percent

 But now for the really ugly statistic. WARNING! If you are a Republican and you have a history of heart problems you may want to skip this next paragraph.

 Joe Kenney (who) trails Governor John Lynch by a margin of, get this,  73 to 7%. You read that right. It is nobody’s fault but Joe Kenney’s, where is he? I haven’t heard him out on the campaign trail and I have not seen one campaign commercial. If he wasn’t serious about taking on John Lynch he should have stayed home, maybe the Republicans could have found a man to take his place.

 And the general thought is that is McCain loses by five or more points than John Sununu stands no chance of winning. The only Republican left standing will be Senator Gregg and that is only because he isn’t up for re-election this year.

 There is one possible bright spot however.

COUNCIL COULD FLIP. Despite the overall Democratic momentum, the party is concerned about a change in the majority of the five-member Executive Council.

In District 2, Republican Merrimack County Attorney Dan St. Hillaire is running a strong enough race against Democratic incumbent John Shea to have prompted Lynch to step into the race with a letter to voters seeking for support and donations for Shea, “my friend and partner in progress.”

 Sarah Palin is going to make a campaign stop here next week in order to drum up enthusiasm in the Republican base, we will see if her appearance helps at all. If not, welcome to Upper Massachusetts.

 You can read more about the latest polls from this Union Leader article.

5 Comments leave one →
  1. Judy Seppala's avatar
    October 10, 2008 6:45 am

    Senator Joe Kenney has support and he has been campaigning extensively, how ever there is less news coverage of him than of Gov. Lynch, who by the way refused to debate Senator Kenney at Franklin Pierce this week, because Gov. Lynch did not feel that the people in Cheshire County were worth the effort.
    We want to see him stand toe-to-toe with Joe Kenney.
    I challenge Gov. Lynch to show NH what he plans on doing when towns lose State Aid due to lines of credit being frozen.

    Joe Kenney need to have campaign funding.
    Conservative Republicans Need to take a look at him, and see where he stands, because he is a serious contender if people could hear his message.
    You can help support Senator Joe Kenney For Governor Saturday night Oct 11 at 6:00 in Rindge.

    “Let’s Keep New Hampshire, New Hampshire.” – October 11th, 2008 in Rindge, NH.
    Event Description: Campaign night includes representatives from John McCain, John Sununu, Jennifer Horn, and Stephen Stepanek and many others. Lasagna Dinner Included. –

    Call 978-270-8402 to Reserve a space.

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  2. Judy Seppala's avatar
    October 10, 2008 6:48 am

    Check out the website from the Monadnock Republicans for this event and see the commercial for Joe Kenney that he needs to have funding to air.

    http://monadnockrepublicans.com/?page_id=86

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  3. NH's avatar
    October 10, 2008 1:02 pm

    Where have you been? Joe has been everywhere. He is on the front page of the Derry, Amherst, Bedford, and on the Strafford County and Hillsborough websites.

    DiStaso is a fat idiot — it’s much higher than 7%.

    GOPers are not answering their phones.

    WE MUST GET RID OF LYNCH.

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  4. Alfie's avatar
    Alfie permalink
    October 10, 2008 3:54 pm

    Quite simply though if Sheheen is winning given her history aren’t you all kinda…well screwed ?

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  5. Steve Dennis's avatar
    October 10, 2008 5:59 pm

    Iguess I must be reading the wrong papre, NH. I figure that Kenney has to be higher than seven percent, at least I hope so. I agree Lynch must go but I am just very pessimistic about those chances.
    Alfie, yes we are very screwed.

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