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Latest national poll shows Donald Trump in the lead, followed by Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz

December 2, 2015

 A new national poll is out which shows Donald Trump in the lead with 27% support, with Marco Rubio coming in second at 17% followed by Ted Cruz and Ben Carson at 16%. Here is more:

Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio continue to surge in the polls. According to the latest national poll from Quinnipiac, Cruz has surged to third place with 16%. That’s the highest score ever for the Republican senator from Texas.

Rubio too is doing better than ever before: he’s now in second place with 17%. This means that Cruz and Rubio are effectively tied and both gunning for the important 20% threshold.

Ben Carson also polls 16%. This means he’s tied with Cruz and virtually tied with Rubio. The difference, though, is that this is absolutely bad news for the retired neurosurgeon. Not too long ago, Carson was tied with Donald Trump for first place. While Rubio and Cruz are on their way up, the good doctor is now on his way down. The longer this downfall continues, the more likely it becomes that he may drop out before the Iowa caucuses even take place.

  While Donald Trump still holds a 10% advantage over his nearest rival the news is not all good for him because this is a national poll and Ted Cruz is surging among the demographic groups needed to win Iowa while Donald Trump’s support remains the same with these groups.

The main problem for Trump is that Cruz is surging among Tea Party voters, “very conservative” voters, and evangelicals. These are exactly the kind of voters a candidate needs to win in Iowa. Trump is still doing relatively well among these members of the conservative base, but his numbers aren’t improving, whereas Cruz’s are.

  If someone like Ted Cruz can pull off an upset in Iowa the dominoes could begin to fall, however Donald Trump still has a huge lead in New Hampshire which means he probably will be able to counter a loss in Iowa where others might fall.

  Donald Trump has one more thing going for him and that is the fact he is winning over the moderates in the Republican party which means the “angry rhetoric” the political insiders claim will eventually bring him down most likely will not do so because if his “angry rhetoric” was going to be his downfall it would be because he pushed the moderates away.

Remarkably, Trump’s main supporters are Republican-leaning voters who call themselves moderates. Democrats and the Republican establishment have said — for months — that Trump’s angry rhetoric would turn such voters off. If this poll is anything to go by, that’s pertinently untrue. He’s performing better among moderates than anyone else; Rubio and Jeb Bush (who many still consider the establishment’s favorite) aren’t even close.

  Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, and Marco Rubio continue to split the anti-Trump vote and the longer all three candidates remain in the race the harder it is to see any scenario in which any one of them can capture enough of the vote to beat Donald Trump in my opinion.

malo periculosam libertatem quam quietum servitium

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10 Comments leave one →
  1. Dan permalink
    December 2, 2015 9:00 pm

    One poll has Trump at 64%. He has far more support than anyone wants to admit.

    Liked by 2 people

    • December 3, 2015 6:23 am

      I have not seen a poll with him that high, but I think he does have more support than I thought he would have gotten when he announced.

      Liked by 1 person

  2. December 2, 2015 10:00 pm

    I hope he keeps surging ahead. America needs Trump right now. I borrowed this piece from my former blog site, and it is dead-on. Whether it was written by Bennett or not, it still rings true IMHO.
    http://hardnoxandfriends.com/2015/11/30/bill-bennett-they-will-kill-trump-before-they-let-him-be-a-president/

    Liked by 2 people

    • December 3, 2015 6:25 am

      Very interesting article, thanks for sharing it. I put nothing past these people, especially Hillary if it looks like she might be denied.

      Liked by 1 person

  3. petermc3 permalink
    December 2, 2015 10:56 pm

    I tend to agree with the idea that Bill Bennett may not have written this book; this piece does not read like Bill Bennett’s writing. I read his “Book of Virtues” years before he went broke gambling in Las Vegas. Other than killing Trump this article is a conservative’s wish list should he become the next POTUS. Let us pray to God, any God who will listen. Even if there is no God, pray anyway.

    Liked by 1 person

    • December 3, 2015 1:30 pm

      Ha, funny Peter. It does come to a point when all else fails to call upon any power source to help. When virtuous book are written by the un-virtuous and laws by the unlawful, what’s to be expect, other than there is no God. If there were He’d be doing something about it (if he were a good and holy God)! It’s written that there is a ‘god over this world system’ and he came into power and rulership because of faulty choices made by those in charge at the time (we all know about making wrong choices). He’s call the god of this world that blinds the minds (lest they ‘see’ the Truth!) and is the ‘source’ behind corrupt gov., planned parenthoods killings (similar to the old sacrificing days), social conditioning media and propaganda, etc. all to bring about the one world Gov., which he will personally rule over – will embody. Strange, yes, but it explains why people never seem to ‘evolve’ into a better species, because of a reoccurring ‘flaw’!
      Trump needs to hire his own SS contractor teams and buy off the DHS etc. (which work against freedom and liberty). And pay off the escaped drug lord that escaped (do you think that was coincidence?) who’s gunning for him (supposedly). http://shoebat.com/2015/07/13/the-top-mexican-drug-lord-nicknamed-the-midget-threatens-donald-trump-while-the-rest-hide-in-the-chicken-coop/

      Liked by 1 person

      • petermc3 permalink
        December 3, 2015 2:51 pm

        Hey Zip,
        If there’s no God what other worldly power is responsible for guys like Gates having the ability to have an extra $60 Billion laying around to donate to charity with no impact on the poor and starving whose numbers continue to increase exponentially worldwide? Only a God could make that money seemingly dissolve like cornstarch in cold water when making turkey gravy for Thanksgiving dinner. Who else but God could allow a MLB pitcher to get a contract for $220 Million for seven years for pitching every four days for eight months of the year while numerous charities beg for $19.00 p/month from the middle class which already donates 35% of their weekly earnings t the federal government’s black hole while hunger and poverty continue to grow? Who else but God would allow a great guy like Mark Zuckerberg to amass so much money that he can give away $45 Billion and still buy groceries for his growing family? And when those donations seemingly disappear into the ether with no impact on hunger and poverty while Mr Z takes this tax deductions who else but God could make such a thing possible? And who else but an almighty and loving God would send us a black messiah via Kenya and Hawaii to lead this once great Judeo-Christian country, the planet’s last shining light, into oblivion, into darkness? Everyone should believe in something; I believe i’ll have another beer.

        Liked by 2 people

      • December 3, 2015 7:03 pm

        Yeah, I hear you Peter. It’s sick-en-ing. There’s so much I could say (and have attempted but deleted it because it doesn’t answer your question), but I’m just going to leave this: ‘Trust in the LORD with all thine heart; and lean not unto thine own understanding. In all thy ways acknowledge him, and he shall direct thy paths. Be not wise in thine own eyes: fear the LORD, and depart from evil.’ Proverbs 3:5-7 Meaning there is a God who hears and has a way for us.
        ‘How then shall they call on him in whom they have not believed? and how shall they believe in him of whom they have not heard?’ … So then faith cometh by hearing, and hearing by the word of God.’ Romans 10:12-17 (written in the King James Bible).
        This world is not following God’s Word, and that’s why you don’t see or find any hope in it. His Word states: ‘For as the heavens are higher than the earth, so are my ways higher than your ways, and my thoughts than your thoughts.’ Isaiah 55:9
        For those (you mention) who have their heaven here and now: ‘For we brought nothing into this world, and it is certain we can carry nothing out.’ 1 Timothy 6:7

        Liked by 1 person

      • December 3, 2015 9:22 pm

        This is where the whole idea of free will comes in I believe: we were all given free will to make our own choices and while it might pay off for some people in this lifetime eventually they will face judgement for their actions and they had better enjoy the life they have made for themselves because they are probably not going to enjoy the next one so much.

        Liked by 1 person

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