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New national poll shows Donald Trump slightly ahead of Hillary Clinton

May 2, 2016

 A new Rasmussen poll has been released and it shows Donald Trump slightly ahead of Hillary Clinton in the general election by a margin of 41%-39%. Regular readers of America’s Watchtower know how I feel about national polls–they can be used as an indicator to gauge public opinion but individual state polls are more useful in predicting the outcome of a general election because of the electoral college.

  This poll has an added caveat which put Donald Trump over the top: the poll removed the option to sit out the election. That option was included in the last Rasmussen poll and that poll had the two candidates in a dead heat. Here is more:

Last week, Rasmussen Reports gave voters the option of staying home on Election Day if Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the big party nominees, and six percent (6%) said that’s what they intend to do for now. Clinton and Trump were tied with 38% support each; 16% said they would vote for some other candidate, and two percent (2%) were undecided.

But Trump edges slightly ahead if the stay-at-home option is removed. Trump also now does twice as well among Democrats as Clinton does among Republicans.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 41% support to Clinton’s 39%. Fifteen percent (15%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

  It seems strange to me that Rasmussen would remove this option when there is no doubt there will be voters staying home, but this poll is still good news for the Trump campaign and it should have Hillary Clinton a little nervous because for months we have been told by the mainstream media and Ted Cruz (I still have not figured out how Ted Cruz believes he is the only candidate who can beat Hillary Clinton when he cannot even beat Donald Trump) that the billionaire businessman cannot beat the former Secretary of State but this poll, as well as the poll which included the option to stay home, shows us otherwise.

malo periculosam libertatem quam quietum servitium

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7 Comments leave one →
  1. May 2, 2016 8:25 pm

    Reblogged this on Rifleman III Journal.

    Liked by 1 person

    • May 3, 2016 5:15 am

      Thanks!

      Like

      • May 3, 2016 6:35 am

        You’re welcome.

        Liked by 1 person

  2. May 2, 2016 9:10 pm

    If nothing more we should have some fun as Trump takes her on. Lots of fireworks.

    Liked by 1 person

    • May 3, 2016 5:16 am

      At least we can look forward to that!

      Liked by 1 person

  3. May 3, 2016 2:21 am

    According to the poll “…Trump now has the support of 73% of Republicans,..” So if this is true why is Cruz and Kasich getting 40% of the vote? Why are the Republicans seeking a brokered convention? In others words this is Fantasy Presidential Election Poll.

    Liked by 1 person

    • May 3, 2016 5:18 am

      I think it is very strange they changed the poll because it makes it seems as if they were trying to push an agenda. I think what the poll meant to say however is that in a general election against Hillary we will have 73% support of Republicans.

      Like

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