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After poll shows a 17 point swing in Donald Trump’s favor Reuters changes its polling methodology

July 29, 2016

 I have written in the past that polls are not designed to determine public opinion but rather to shape public opinion. Now, if this story is true, we have could have a perfect example of this. The latest Reuters tracking poll was released yesterday and it showed a 17 point swing in favor of Donald Trump in just a two week period.

  Apparently Reuters was none to happy with the results and has determined its polling methodology was skewed and has decided to change it moving forward by removing the “neither” option. Here is more:

“In a presidential campaign notable for its negativity, the option of ‘Neither’ candidate appears to be an appealing alternative, at least to participants in the Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll,” wrote Maurice Tamman, the leader of the Reuters news service’s New York City-based data mining and investigative reporting team. “Many voters on both sides have been ambivalent in their support for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and Republican nominee Donald Trump, complicating the task of the pollsters trying to track the race.”

“In the nearly five years Reuters/Ipsos has been offering the ‘Neither/Other’ option to respondents in presidential polling, it has never yielded such a skew,” he wrote. “The results highlight how poll designs and methodologies can yield significantly differing results, and how important differences can emerge from the way a question is framed.” 

  Reuters is spinning this change by claiming the support for Donald Trump was under reported using this methodology but it certainly looks to me as if Reuters is trying to minimize a Trump surge to make it appear as if the race was close all along, while at the same time making it appear as if Hillary Clinton’s possible demise is not so certain.

  Reuters has been using the “neither” option for years and in an election cycle when more people are upset with the two candidates than ever before it seems to me as if this option is more necessary than ever before and yet Reuters has decided to drop what they admitted was an “appealing alternative” and the reason for this is clear in my opinion.

malo periculosam libertatem quam quietum servitium

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22 Comments leave one →
  1. July 29, 2016 10:17 pm

    The polls and the billionaire puppet masters that control them CNN/ORC (Turner), ABC (Disney), NBC (Mark Murray), Wall Street Journal (Rupert Murdoch), Monmouth (Patrick Murray), FOX News (Daron Shaw), Reuters, CBS (David Rhodes), and PPP (Happy Liberals),

    Liked by 1 person

    • July 30, 2016 7:04 am

      This pretty much confirms the polls are used to drive an agenda not to report public opinion.

      Like

      • lou222 permalink
        July 30, 2016 9:32 am

        Haha, Steve, I KNOW you did not think there was ever anything on the up and up in politics….why start now?

        Liked by 1 person

      • July 30, 2016 6:21 pm

        Good point! Actually I am now even more cynical than I was before and I didn’t think that was possible.

        Liked by 1 person

  2. July 30, 2016 9:28 am

    Reblogged this on disturbeddeputy and commented:
    No time to tell the truth, gotta get the spin right and follow our agenda.

    Liked by 2 people

    • lou222 permalink
      July 30, 2016 9:33 am

      It is all about the spin, this much we know!

      Liked by 1 person

    • lou222 permalink
      July 30, 2016 9:35 am

      Nice looking pic there, disturbeddeputy!

      Liked by 1 person

    • July 30, 2016 6:21 pm

      Thanks for the reblog.

      Like

  3. lou222 permalink
    July 30, 2016 9:52 am

    The Clinton Chronicles – High Jacking of American….it is long, so maybe an evening watch?

    Liked by 1 person

    • July 30, 2016 6:22 pm

      Thanks for sharing! I don’t have time to watch it now but I will try to watch it a little at a time. I don’t know if I will be able to take it though. 😉

      Liked by 1 person

  4. July 30, 2016 11:44 am

    I’m going to propose another possibility. The change has more to do with third parties as I imagine that is the option that Stein and Johnson supporters were using. The polling companies have a bias against third parties.

    Liked by 1 person

    • July 30, 2016 6:23 pm

      If they are going to get rid of the neither option they should at least add Johnson to the poll because he is going to be on the ballot in all 50 states.

      Like

      • July 30, 2016 6:44 pm

        You would think that someone will be on all 50 ballots and getting 10% on the polls in which he’s included all the polls would start including him. That isn’t happening. We’re seeing first hand how the system is truly rigged.

        Liked by 1 person

      • July 30, 2016 7:57 pm

        Aside from the polls being used to confirm an agend there maybe a statistics problem when candidates poll below a certain number. The polls often have a +- 3% statistical error factor.

        Liked by 1 person

      • July 31, 2016 6:50 am

        It just doesn’t seem accurate if you tell the person they have to choose one or the other. There are people who are not going to vote and they are people who will vote for a third party. At least with the “neither” option in there is would cover both scenarios.

        Like

  5. July 31, 2016 8:43 am

    About the same way they determine the unemployment rate. I happened to be caught up in the survey they use to determine the rate, All self reporting, with the questions posed to effect the results.

    Liked by 1 person

    • lou222 permalink
      July 31, 2016 12:42 pm

      You mean they are rigged? Surely not, Bunker!
      Ya, I get the leading questions, until you do not play the game and then they hang up and call the next “victim”! Basically if you want another answer, ask a different question…but in this case they move on to someone that has the same mind set.

      Liked by 2 people

    • July 31, 2016 6:43 pm

      Yeah, they certainly have found a way to rig those numbers, haven’t they. I am with Lou, I just don’t answer the phone.

      Liked by 1 person

      • July 31, 2016 7:37 pm

        This included an in person interview since I didn’t answer some of the questions like how far was my commute at my last job.

        Like

    • lou222 permalink
      July 31, 2016 9:24 pm

      Bunker, that sounds like when they do the census and come around to bother people until they answer….that is crazy.

      Liked by 2 people

Trackbacks

  1. After poll shows a 17 point swing in Donald Trump’s favor Reuters changes its polling methodology | Rifleman III Journal
  2. After poll shows a 17 point swing in Donald Trump’s favor Reuters changes its polling methodology – Patriot Family Survival

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