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New poll show the Democrats could lose 5 Senate seats in ‘Trump states’

March 8, 2018

  The mainstream media and the Democrats have been writing and talking about this “blue wave” which is building across the nation which will sweep the Democrats into the majority in both the House and the Senate. Most of this has been built around a few special elections which have been held recently in which the Democrats have won but most recently it has centered on the record turnout of Democratic voters in Texas.

  The Democrats have reason to feel optimism after these special elections but the “Texas blue wave” was not all it was cracked up to be. For all of the hype surrounding the Texas primary the Republicans still had roughly 500,000 more voters than the Democrats and Ted Cruz gained more votes over his primary opponents than all of the Democratic candidates gathered combined.

  Now a new poll is out which shows us if the 2018 mid-term election was held today Senate Democrats would lose 5 seats in State Donald Trump won in 2016. Here is more:

Five Senate Democrats would lose to Republican candidates if the elections were held today and three have approval ratings under 50%, according to new Axios/SurveyMonkey polls. 

Why it matters: Democrats are defending 10 Senate seats in states that President Trump won in 2016. In six of those states, Trump’s approval is higher than 50% (compared to 43% nationally). These numbers underscore how hard it will be for Democrats to pick up the two seats needed to win the majority despite Trump’s troubles. 

The most vulnerable senators are Joe Manchin of West Virginia, Jon Tester in Montana and Claire McCaskill in Missouri. Each of their approval ratings is either under 50% or just above it, while Trump’s is well above that in all three states.

The least vulnerable senators are Bill Nelson of Florida, Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, and Sherrod Brown of Ohio. Trump’s approval is at just 46% in Florida and Pennsylvania and 54% in Ohio.

But, but, but… With the election many months away and final Republican opponents not set, these numbers are likely to change as real GOP challengers get involved in the race. The approval ratings of each senator may give a better idea of where they stand with voters in their states.

  I do not intend to start writing about, or even thinking about for that matter, the 2018 mid-term election because it is way too early and anything can change between now and November.

  However the mainstream media is pushing a narrative, selling a product, with a two-fold goal: The mainstream media wants to dissuade the Republicans from voting while at the same time encouraging the Democrats to vote. 

  The Democrats have a legitimate reason to feel optimistic about the mid-terms based on some recent results and historical evidence which shows for the most part the President’s party loses seats in the mid-terms and who knows, maybe there will be a blue wave in November, but do not let the mainstream media convince you this is a forgone conclusion.

malo periculosam libertatem quam quietum servitium

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4 Comments leave one →
  1. March 8, 2018 10:38 pm

    Well the left is preparing by censoring YouTube and Facebook to remove conservative opinions. George Soros is funding leftist canidates by overwhelming opposition candidates who don’t have deep financial pockets. If any weak Republicans runs for the Senate they will be chewed up like Roy Moore.

    Bill Nelson is vunerable in Florida because of his weak gun rights position. But leave it to Republicans to screw up. The other Florida Senator is Republican Marco Rubio, so go figure.

    Liked by 1 person

    • March 9, 2018 6:40 am

      Other than that everything is going well! 😉 You make some good points: we are losing the last place we had to go as the leftists begin to sensor us on the internet and the Democrats are very dangerous right now. They will destroy anybody they have to who gets in their way in their attempt at regaining power.

      Like

  2. petermac3 permalink
    March 9, 2018 12:14 pm

    Neither myself nor my conservative family members and friends share anything resembling optimism. The republicans shot their load last November and since have been doing their best to make sure the 2018 and 2020 elections are lost causes.

    Liked by 1 person

    • March 9, 2018 7:14 pm

      The establishment Republicans are showing us their true colors with their opposition to Trump. We have been saying they are on the same side as Democrats and they have proved it and this will cost them in November if they do not get on board.

      Like

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