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Latest New Hampshire Primary Poll (12/30)

December 30, 2007

 In what should be the last poll of 2007, both parties show a dead heat. With just over a week before the New Hampshire primary both races are heating up.

For the Democrats:

Hillary Clinton’s support is down by 7 percent since ARG’s December 16 to 19 survey. Obama is up 3 percent, to 24 and John Edwards up 6 percent, to 21. Other candidates trailed badly. Bill Richardson is at 5 percent, Joe Biden and Dennis Kucinich at 3, Chris Dodd and Mike Gravel at 1, with 8 percent undecided

 Obama and Hillary are basically tied, and Edwards is closing the gap. I find Edwards’ surge to be the most astonishing, I thought his campaign was dead in the water months ago. And speaking of dead in the water, John McCain is in a virtual tie with Mitt Romney. McCain’s immigration position should have killed off his candidacy months ago, but yet here he is:

 McCain and Romney both gained, rising from 26 to 30 percent in the new poll. Mike Huckabee held steady at 11 percent, with Rudy Giuliani losing almost half his support, falling to 9 percent. Ron Paul is at 7 percent, Fred Thompson at 3, Alan Keyes and Duncan Hunter at 1. Undecideds are just 8 percent.

 Mitt Romney’s support has not waned, the rise of McCain seems to be coming from the defection of Rudy and Thompson supporters. It looks to be a dog fight down to the end.

 Both parties show undecided voters down to eight pecent as the primary inches closer. The wild card still appears to be the Independent undecided voters. Independent voters in New Hampshire are the largest voting block and at last count, 60% on Independents were undecided, this latest poll doesn’t take into account Independent voters, so anything can still happen.

3 Comments leave one →
  1. Tim's avatar
    December 30, 2007 11:34 pm

    Mitt Romney has been granite in the granite state. McCain has recently been growing strong there, but he has been anything but granite.

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  2. Mike's avatar
    Mike permalink
    December 31, 2007 1:23 pm

    To Tim,

    Hmmm… let’s compare candidates:
    McCain won the great state of New Hampshire in 2000 and has 26 news paper endorsements thus far.

    Romney was/is strong in the polls but is slipping to recently tied with or behind McCain and is launching “attack” ads against candidates in both Iowa and New Hampshire that reek of desperation.

    One might say that Mitt wants the best for America but he sure doesn’t show it. The only thing that is consistent is Mitt’s inconsistency.

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  3. Tom's avatar
    January 1, 2008 5:39 pm

    Iowa will be very interesting this year. So far, everything (and everyone) is up for grabs, and the polls can’t predict anything.

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