My Take on the Iowa Caucus
As I write this Obama has won the Iowa caucus, Edwards is in second, and Hillary is in third. Hillary is projected to still take second. Huckabee has won, with Mitt in second, Thompson in third, followed by McCain.
I think Hillary’s biggest problem was that she was running on her experience, and yet running on being the candidate of change at the same time. She uses her experience of 35 years in political life and being part of the political machine as a reason to vote for her. Yet she says she will bring change. This is typical Clintonese, playing sitting on both sides of the fence. Clearly Obama is the candidate voters thought would bring change. He has not been part of the political insiders for very long and as such was able to portray himself as the agent of change. I also think there was a large anti-Hillary vote as voters begin to wonder if she is electable. I don’t think she is.
I think Hillary is in trouble, I think Obama is going to ride this victory all the way to the nomination.
As for the Republicans, I think that Huckabee is a one hit wonder. This victory will probably give him a bump in New Hampshire, but not much. He may have a shot at South Carolina, but that is about it. This really does hurt Mitt, as McCain is right on his heels and some polls have him ahead. I think that Mitt needs a strong showing in New Hampshire or voters will start to look elsewhere.
As I write this, Thompson has had a better showing than I thought he would in Iowa, this could position him well after New Hampshire. He won’t do anything in New Hampshire, but if he stays in the race (there are rumors he will drop out), he could make a move after New Hampshire.
Now the race is on, this is going to get interesting in the coming weeks.
America's Watchtower 
Honestly I was hoping that Thompson would end up dropping out and support McCain. His heart just doesn’t seem in the race.
LikeLike
I REALLY, REALLY hope Huckabee ends up being a one hit wonder. I am just groaning at his win, ugh…
Whether Obama gets the nomination or not this will force the Clintons to get really nasty and there will be a lot of divisiness on the Dem side. Which is the only good news of the night.
LikeLike
Watching these caucuses and primaries is usually entertaining for me. Being in Wisconsin, the decisions are usually made by the time it ever gets to us.
LikeLike
Dee, Huckabee doesn’t have any chance in New Hampshire, McCain lools to be the leader, Huckabee is around 10%. I can’t wait to watch Hillary implode if she loses New Hampshire, which I think she will.
Gary, that does kind of stink, hopefully for you the races will remain close enough for your vote to really mean something.
LikeLike
The Iowa caucus was a farce. A complete myopic view of a limited population dividing religion, race and popularity.
The surprise win of Obama, reminds me of a earlier time, when David Dinkins was elected mayor of New York. Both were elected to reflect a needed change of the old guard. Both fit the emotional element to characterizing race as a progressive strength in electing an official. and now both who have limited history and practice to run. in one case a city and in the other the country, there are many similarities and frankly, we as a country should not fall into this ruse..
We just finished with a president that couldn’t run anything, limited our freedom and used fear to control our progressive thinking. Should we fall into another trap by trying to escape Bush?
LikeLike