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New polling data shows Donald Trump could beat Hillary Clinton in New York

February 29, 2016

 According to this story there is polling data from which shows Donald Trump doing remarkable well against Hillary Clinton in New York and this data has some prominent Democrats very worried. Here is more:

Confidential polling data shows Hillary Clinton could lose the presidential election in heavily Democratic New York to Donald Trump as the GOP front-runner’s support grows to the point of being “surprisingly strong,” The Post has learned.

The poll results, from Democratic and Republican legislative races, have surprised many leading Dems, virtually all of whom have endorsed Clinton, while confounding and energizing GOP leaders, many of whom until recently have been opposed to Trump.

“There are some Democrats who think that Hillary can be taken if Trump mounts a strong campaign,’’ one of the state’s most prominent Democrats said.

  Also of concern for Hillary Clinton according to the story is that most of this polling data does not include the possibility of a Michael Bloomberg third party candidacy, but the polling data which does include the former New York City mayor took “significant” votes away from the former Secretary of State.

Most of the polling didn’t address the possibility that former Mayor Michael Bloomberg would run as an independent, but some of it did — and found the former mayor took “significant’’ votes away from Clinton in heavily Democratic New York City and the surrounding suburbs, a source familiar with the data said.

The new polls, a second source said, showed Trump’s support, even without Bloomberg in the race, was “surprisingly strong’’ in Westchester and on Long Island, the key suburbs often viewed as crucial swing bellwethers on how statewide elections will turn out.

The polls found that Clinton often had higher negative ratings with voters than did the more controversial Trump, whose inflammatory pronouncements have often angered and even horrified many of his fellow Republicans.

“In the suburbs and upstate, Trump has a net positive while Hillary is a net negative,” one longtime Republican operative contended. “She’s more of a liability than many Democrats realized.”

  This polling data has not been released to the public, we are relying solely on this story, so I suppose we have to take it for what it is worth. However if this is true it could be a game-changer in the general election because according to my research no Republican has won a general election in New York since 1984.

malo periculosam libertatem quam quietum servitium

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19 Comments leave one →
  1. February 29, 2016 9:47 pm

    Donald is a native and Hillary is the transplant. So who will be preceived as the true New Yorker? New York also should be in play because of the dynamics in the state – upstate state vs downstate, urban vs. rural, but the major office holders are all Democrats.

    Liked by 1 person

    • March 1, 2016 6:28 am

      That is an interesting point about Trump being a real New Yorker, maybe that has something to do with it as well. I know upstate New York is more conservative than the rest of the state but I think because the urban areas have more population they dominate the election results.

      Like

  2. petermc3 permalink
    February 29, 2016 9:59 pm

    As someone lacking all credibility in such matters this much I know, the five borough of New York City have more voters than the other counties of New York State combined. It takes utter desperation such as the late arrogant Governor Mario Cuomo’s mishandling of all things NY State which led to the election of George Pitaki-R in 1994 and the total mismanagement of everything NY City, especially crime, by Mayor David Dinkins that led to the election of Rudy Giuliani-R in 1993. This state sent this flabby f__k to the US Senate simply because she is a Clinton with a D next to her name. Neither the Clinton scandals involving her and her then ex president husband nor her total lack of experience by this Chitown via the Ozarks carpetbagger impacted her candidacy. A city that is the world epicenter of banking, finance, trade and capitalism elected an overt in your face card carrying communist as its mayor. Hillary cannot be beaten in NY State even if incarcerated in the Bronx Women’s House of Detention on election night. I anecdotally rest my case. Hillary will win NY State.

    Liked by 1 person

    • March 1, 2016 1:18 am

      It must be all those illegal alien and graveyard voters in NYC that makes the difference.

      Liked by 1 person

    • March 1, 2016 6:30 am

      Good point Peter, being a carpetbagger did not stop her from winning a Senate seat and in the end it might not stop here from winning it in the general election.

      Like

    • lou222 permalink
      March 2, 2016 1:47 pm

      You know, Peter, money has a way of talking, so do “files” that are saved for just these trying times! New York, it ain’t Kansas!

      Liked by 1 person

      • March 2, 2016 8:01 pm

        I wonder if Kansas is Kansas any more…

        Liked by 1 person

  3. February 29, 2016 10:03 pm

    I wonder if this was before of after his David Duke controversy. Game changer for independents. IMO.

    Liked by 1 person

    • March 1, 2016 6:31 am

      I do not know the answer to that question, but I have a feeling this controversy will not stall him in the primary at all. Of course they will hammer him with it in the general…

      Liked by 1 person

      • lou222 permalink
        March 2, 2016 1:48 pm

        Of course they will…I have a feeling we have not seen even a “smidgen” of crap that is going to be thrown from both sides….it should be an interesting race, at the very least!

        Liked by 1 person

      • March 2, 2016 8:04 pm

        The media is saving up its biggest attacks on Trump for the general election. I wonder if Trump is going to go at Hillary as hard as he has gone after Cruz.

        Like

  4. March 1, 2016 1:49 am

    A bit of fun, and commentary:

    Liked by 2 people

    • March 1, 2016 6:33 am

      Funny stuff, especially the one about Hillary’s honesty. Thanks for sharing.

      Liked by 1 person

    • lou222 permalink
      March 2, 2016 1:45 pm

      We need some “lightness”, that is for sure, Zip!

      Liked by 2 people

  5. March 1, 2016 10:16 am

    Its not about Trump beating Hillary in NYS – question is, can he beat her nationwide.

    Liked by 1 person

    • March 1, 2016 7:47 pm

      Personally I don’t think so.

      Like

    • lou222 permalink
      March 2, 2016 1:50 pm

      Depends on how much fraud goes on…I think it will be on both sides this time. Should we just sit this one out? Just kidding!

      Liked by 1 person

  6. October 9, 2016 12:05 am

    Well, that “polling data” sure isn’t the same today as it was then!

    Like

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  1. New polling data shows Donald Trump could beat Hillary Clinton in New York | Rifleman III Journal

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