John Boehner endorses Paul Ryan for President and then walks it back
The AP has done the math and is reporting that Ted Cruz cannot win enough delegates before the convention to win the Republican nomination and is also reporting that Donald Trump can win enough delegates but it will be tough and he cannot do it at his current pace.
Here is more:
Donald Trump is the only candidate with a path to clinching the Republican nomination for president before the party’s national convention in July, according to an analysis of the delegate math.
But despite four more wins on Tuesday, the billionaire businessman still must do better.
Trump has won 47 percent of the delegates awarded so far, according to the Associated Press delegate count. That’s not good enough — it takes a majority of delegates to win the nomination, according to party rules.
Trump needs to win 54 percent of the remaining delegates to clinch the nomination by the time the primary season ends on June 7.
He could reach the goal by winning most of the remaining states that award all of their delegates to the winner — and doing well in the other states. The next winner-take-all state is Arizona on Tuesday, with 58 delegates at stake.
I believe that Donald Trump can and will win the nomination before the convention however his fate hinges on where Marco Rubio’s voters go in the upcoming contests. Almost 100% of them would have to go to either of Donald Trump’s opponents but if just 5% of them go to the billionaire businessman he will win the nomination. I think it is likely he can pick up the 5% of the voters he needs but for the sake of this post let us assume we will see a brokered convention.
John Boehner, the person who might most epitomize the establishment, was asked about this scenario and who he would endorse if it comes to pass. Here is what he said:
“If we don’t have a nominee who can win on the first ballot, I’m for none of the above,” Boehner said. “They all had a chance to win. None of them won. So I’m for none of the above. I’m for Paul Ryan to be our nominee.”
However it did not take him long to walk that comment back by endorsing John Kasich:
“He has endorsed Governor John Kasich,” his spokesman, David Schnittger, told Breitbart News via email.
“His off-the-cuff comments this morning [in Florida] were about a hypothetical scenario in which none of the current candidates are able to secure the nomination at the convention,” said Schnittger, a “senior policy advisor” at the D.C. lobbying firm, Squire Patton Boggs.
This type of “wishy-washyness” is what led to his ultimate demise so it is not surprising he would try to take both sides of this issue. He is trying to have it both ways. We all know the Republican establishment is praying for a brokered convention so they can stop Donald Trump (and probably Ted Cruz as well) from winning the nomination so they can insert an establishment guy as the nominee.
As an establishment person I believe John Boehner is salivating over the prospects of a brokered convention so he has endorsed John Kasich hoping his endorsement will lead to Marco Rubio voters voting for the most establishment candidate left in the race thereby ensuring a brokered convention where he hopes the man he really supports, Paul Ryan, can wrestle the nomination away from Donald Trump. He simply let his true feelings known when he said he supported Paul Ryan for President and I think his comments show us the machinations which are happening within the Republican party behind the veil.
malo periculosam libertatem quam quietum servitium