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Ted Cruz’s ground game trumps Donald Trump yet again

April 17, 2016

donald trump  In a previous post I mentioned how Donald Trump seems to have a win the state and move on strategy in this primary season while Ted Cruz has a post-election ground game which could trump Donald Trump at the convention in the event the convention is brokered.

  Donald Trump is winning most of the state contests and this will most likely give him the delegate lead heading into the convention, however his post-election strategy appears to be lacking when it comes to choosing who the delegates will be. While he is racking up the delegates he appears to lack the ground game necessary to ensure the delegates who are chosen in the individual states will remain loyal to him once the first ballot is decided, and this is where Ted Cruz’s ground game is superior.

  This will not be a problem if Donald Trump is able to win enough delegates prior to the convention to secure the Republican nomination, but that prospect is appearing less and less likely which means the question of who the delegates are that are chosen takes on added significance.

  This is where Ted Cruz has the edge because while his delegates are bound to vote for Donald Trump on the first ballot they are free to change their votes on the subsequent ballots and because Ted Cruz’s ground game is superior he has been able to make sure the chosen delegates are sympathetic to his campaign–this of course make it highly likely they will abandon the billionaire businessman and jump to the Senator from Texas on subsequent ballots. 

  The latest example of this happened yesterday, suffice it to say he had a very bad day. Here is more:

It was another delegate bloodbath for Donald Trump.

In Georgia. In Wyoming. In South Carolina. In Kansas. In Florida. Ted Cruz put on a clinic, mobilizing his GOP activist base to capture at least 50 delegates on Saturday while Trump came away with about a dozen in another bruising defeat that undermines his chances to become the Republican presidential nominee.

If Trump fails to clinch the nomination by the end of primary season on June 7, the nomination will likely be decided at a contested convention in July. And Cruz, after picking up scores of loyal delegates who he expects stick with him if the convention takes multiple votes to resolve, is radiating confidence about his ability to prevail in that scenario.

Days like Saturday explain why.

Local and statewide Republican party organizations around the country held about about 20 conventions and caucuses to elect national delegates, with more than 90 slots up for grabs in a shadow primary process that Trump has blasted as “rigged” against him. The contests, open only to registered Republican voters — and in some cases, only to party insiders — identify individuals to fill delegate slots earned by candidates in state primaries and caucuses. Who these delegates are is crucial: Though party rules require them to vote according to the will of their states’ voters at first, most are able to vote freely if the convention deadlocks and it requires multiple rounds of balloting to pick a nominee.

So far, Cruz has dominated these delegate selection battles, even in states Trump won handily in the primary. Though Trump won all 50 delegates in South Carolina in a Feb. 20 primary, for example, many are poised to abandon him for Cruz on a second ballot. And now, in Georgia, where Trump crushed his rivals and earned 42 of 76 delegates on primary day, dozens are set to abandon him for Cruz as soon as they can.

  And there is more which can be read about Donald Trump’s post-election delegate woes in the article I linked to above but I will stop there, feel free to read more if you care to.

  While Donald Trump is whining about how the system is rigged against him–and I agree with him on this but would add it is rigged against every outsider and anti-establishment candidate seeking the nomination–at this point he should know how the system works and yet he is doing nothing with his post-election ground game to ensure the nomination is not stolen from him. Instead of whining, or in addition to whining, he should be better organizing his post-election ground game but it appears to me as if he is not.

  And that leads me to question whether or not Donald Trump really wants to become President, but of course I have been asking that question from the very beginning of his campaign because I believe he has an ulterior motive…

malo periculosam libertatem quam quietum servitium

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19 Comments leave one →
  1. Dr. Jeff permalink
    April 17, 2016 10:45 pm

    The system is just that, the system. Trump is going to have to adapt to it or lose.

    I’m actually surprised that he hasn’t set up a team to examine and deal with it. That he hasn’t, is an argument against his competence.

    Liked by 3 people

    • April 18, 2016 5:23 am

      I think it is also an argument in favor of me theory that he is running as a Democratic straw man.

      Like

  2. April 18, 2016 1:43 am

    You and Dr. Jeff are right. While Mr. Trump (and Senator Sanders in the Dem party) may complain about how the delegates are selected, neither can claim not to have known from the beginning, and the fact that neither seems to have prepared to deal with the systems and processes established by the parties speaks volumes about their preparedness to take on the ever-more complex job they are vying for.

    I’m no fan of Rafael Cruz, but he’s certainly eating Donald Trump’s lunch, and dessert as well!

    Take good care, and may God bless us all!

    TGY

    Liked by 3 people

    • Dr. Jeff permalink
      April 18, 2016 3:09 am

      If God doesn’t, no one else will.

      Liked by 2 people

    • April 18, 2016 5:25 am

      And Donald Trump has not done anything to deal with this now that he knows he needs to be involved in the process of selecting delegates, it is as if he does not care…

      Like

      • lou222 permalink
        April 18, 2016 9:22 am

        This is what surprises me, that he is not dealing with it.

        Liked by 1 person

      • April 18, 2016 6:57 pm

        Yeah, at this point there is no excuse for him to not be organizing a better post-election ground game. It is almost as if he would rather complain about it than do anything about it. Maybe he feels this will help him win over more votes who are upset with the establishment.

        Like

  3. April 18, 2016 8:29 am

    This all could be part of Trump’s stragey. He is self funded and is spending no more than he needs to. Trump laid out his manifesto in the WSJ oped. He wants to go to Clevland and become a victim of the system. He then can attempt to run third party. Yes, there are obstacles in his path. He could win the election by only needing a little more than 35% of the total vote and winning the key states.

    Liked by 1 person

    • lou222 permalink
      April 18, 2016 9:24 am

      I would say this is not out of the question now, he just might run third party and alot of people will stick with him. We are sure getting a show for our money this year, but not one that I wanted.

      Liked by 1 person

      • April 18, 2016 6:59 pm

        Never a dull moment…

        Liked by 1 person

    • April 18, 2016 6:58 pm

      That is what it seems like to me as well CJ, he wants to play the victim. Or of course it could be part of his plan to bring down the Republican party and help Hillary win the election, I still do not trust him at all.

      Like

  4. April 18, 2016 3:05 pm

    The thought keeps coming to mind that those ‘powers that be’ who run the show will place in who they want anyway: http://www.bibliotecapleyades.net/esp_sociopol_rockefeller.htm
    Illuminati Card Game(330 cards) game made in 1995.

    Liked by 1 person

    • lou222 permalink
      April 18, 2016 3:35 pm

      Zip, there are alot of things that have been foretold! I do not doubt that it is all for total control. Wish I could get my hands on one of those games!

      Liked by 2 people

    • April 18, 2016 7:07 pm

      I guess it is all in the cards…
      There is a new cartoon out there, I can’t remember the name, that features a character called Bill. (Short for Dollar Bill) Bill is the all-seeing eye from the back of the dollar bill with arms and legs and the show gives clues to a mystery which needs to be solved. There is quite a bit of symbolism in the show and it looks to be indoctrinating the youth.

      Liked by 1 person

      • lou222 permalink
        April 18, 2016 7:27 pm

        Ha, not even subliminal anymore? I remember going to the drive-in when I was young and they said later that they had slipped in pics of hotdogs, pickles, drinks, etc., on the commercials…probably did….you were always hungry for those things during the movie…haha!

        Liked by 1 person

      • April 18, 2016 7:59 pm

        I remember hearing those stories as well, it seems as if they are getting more bold as time goes on!

        Liked by 1 person

      • April 18, 2016 10:14 pm

        It’s called ‘Gravity Falls’ and yes it even shows Bill ripping a whole into inter-dimensional fabric (like Cern) and the demon coming thru. Very symbolic in nature. It’s kind-of a kid show, but not, it speaks to more than a basic viewer realizes unless they’re up on all the symbolism and Gematria.

        Like

  5. April 18, 2016 7:49 pm

    Yes, he didn’t get to where he did by being stupid. I am with you. The truth is at some point he can’t afford the whole campaign on his dime. Or doubt he wants to. So then what?

    Liked by 1 person

    • April 18, 2016 8:00 pm

      That’s right, he got to where he is by knowing how to play the game so I have a hard time believing he is caught off-guard at this point.

      Like

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