Latest Rasmussen poll shows Donald Trump surging into the lead
At this point I do not trust the polls because they are all over the place and I believe they are all being spun to promote political agendas. We see polls showing Hillary Clinton with a huge lead over Donald Trump and we see others which show a tight race. We see some polls showing tight races in individual swing states and we see some polls showing Hillary Clinton winning the swing states fairly easily. As America’s Watchtower warriors know, I do not regard national polls as being reliable at all because we do not hold a national election but rather 50 individual elections.
However I do feel that national polls can be used to gauge the sentiment of the American people if not the outcome of the election and Rasmussen is considered by many to be the most accurate pollster out there today so after having declined to write about poll numbers over the last few weeks I have decided to share the results of the latest Rasmussen poll because I find the results to be interesting.
According to the latest Rasmussen poll Donald Trump has gone from trailing Hillary Clinton by five point to leading the former Secretary of State by four points–a nine point swing–in just one week. Here is more:
The tables have turned in this week’s White House Watch. After trailing Hillary Clinton by five points for the prior two weeks, Donald Trump has now taken a four-point lead.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 43% of the vote, while Clinton earns 39%. Twelve percent (12%) still like another candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.
Last week at this time, it was Clinton 44%, Trump 39%. This is Trump’s highest level of support in Rasmussen Reports’ matchups with Clinton since last October. His support has been hovering around the 40% mark since April, but it remains to be seen whether he’s just having a good week or this actually represents a real move forward among voters.
Here is where the polls gets very interesting in my opinion:
Trump now earns 75% support among his fellow Republicans and picks up 14% of the Democratic vote. Seventy-six percent (76%) of Democrats like Clinton, as do 10% of GOP voters. Both candidates face a sizable number of potential defections because of unhappiness with them in their own parties.
Both candidates gain about the same amount of support from their party voters, however both only have the support of roughly 75% of the voters of their party–which seems low to me. Donald Trump actually has the support of 14% of Democratic voters and I would guess most of these voters are Bernie Sanders supporters who are upset with the establishment and are looking for an alternative.
I cannot determine what the 10% of the Republican voters who are now supporting Hillary Clinton are thinking but I believe there are two options: either they are still upset at the way the billionaire businessman treated their preferred candidate during the primary or they are supporters of the establishment who would rather see an establishment-friendly Hillary Clinton win the Presidency than an outsider. It seems to me that many establishment Republicans in office prefer the latter scenario but that is an aside and not related to this poll…
In the interest of full disclosure if I were polled I would be among the 12% of the voters who prefer another candidate but never in my wildest dreams would I take it to the level of voting for Hillary Clinton and that is what I find most amazing about this poll.
I cannot remember a time when so many voters were so upset with the nominee of their party on both sides of the aisle that they would be willing to switch sides–24% of voters are claiming they will switch sides according to this poll–and I think it could make November unpredictable and very interesting…
malo periculosam libertatem quam quietum servitium