Donald Trump now has a path to 270 Electoral College votes
For weeks we have been told that despite the national polls being relatively close Donald Trump had a very narrow path to the needed 270 electoral college votes, however recent swing state polls have shown the billionaire businessman taking the lead in several of these key states.
Politico is now claiming that because of this sudden surge by Donald Trump he has a clear path to the 270 electoral college votes if these polls hold up, here is more:
But state polling averages, which can be lagging indicators, are beginning to show Trump in the lead. According to POLITICO’s Battleground States polling average, Trump is now ahead in Iowa and Ohio — and he’s tied with Clinton in vote-rich Florida.
A slightly more aggressive estimate could add Nevada, North Carolina and one electoral vote in Maine to Trump’s tally: The New York real-estate magnate is ahead in the most recent polls in Nevada and North Carolina, and in Maine’s Second Congressional District.
That, plus all the other states Mitt Romney won four years ago, would get Trump to 266 electoral votes — just four shy of the 270 needed to win.
If all of this happens Donald Trump would only need to win one more state to become the next President of the United States:
Clinton’s once-comfortable cushion has been deflated to such an extent that if Trump wins those states and the electoral vote in Maine, he only needs one more state to win — with Colorado, Michigan, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Virginia the most likely targets. And there’s recent polling evidence suggesting he is in striking distance in some of those states.
There are quite a bit of ifs involved here but this is what elections are all about. I believe this is going to come down to the debates, and possibly the first debate will decide this election. Donald Trump needs to be aggressive against Hillary Clinton in the debates, however there is a fine line he needs to walk. If he is too aggressive the mainstream media will be able to portray him as a bully and make Hillary Clinton look like a victim.
That in and of itself is interesting because they will be basically be portraying a woman as not as strong as a man while Hillary Clinton is trying to prove a woman is as strong as a man, but of course that irony will be lost on the mainstream media, the Democrats, and Hillary Clinton herself.
Much like the primary did not go as easily as Hillary Clinton expected she could be facing stiffer competition in the general election heading to her coronation than she expected.
malo periculosam libertatem quam quietum servitium